Updated July 20, 2026 by David Mount, REALTOR®, The Redux Group of eXp Realty | Burke, Virginia
Quick Answer: Burke stayed one of the fastest moving markets in Fairfax County in Q2 2026. Homes went under contract in a median of 12 days (down from 20 a year ago), typically sold at or about 1% above list price, and roughly 1.1 months of local supply kept sellers firmly in control. Well prepared, correctly priced Burke homes are still commanding strong results. Overpriced ones are sitting, with 14 of 92 active listings already price reduced.
In this report:
Q2 2026 Burke Market Snapshot
The short version: Burke sold faster than almost anywhere else in Northern Virginia this quarter, on very thin inventory. Here are the numbers for April through June 2026, with sources cited so you can verify each one.
| Metric | Q2 2026 Reading | Change | Source |
|---|---|---|---|
| Median sold price, Burke (all home types, June 2026) | $650,000 | Blends townhomes and single family homes | Movoto |
| Median sale price, ZIP 22015 (rolling three months ending April 2026) | about $707,000 | Weighted toward detached homes | Redfin |
| Median days on market (June 2026) | 12 days | Down from 20 days a year earlier | Movoto, Redfin |
| Sale to list price ratio | about 101% (roughly 1% above asking) | Burke rated “very competitive” (83 of 100); ZIP 22015 “most competitive” (93 of 100) | Redfin |
| Active listings (as of July 20, 2026) | 92 homes (14 with price reductions) | 15 new listings in the trailing week | Movoto |
| Homes sold (June 2026) | 85 | Down from 97 in June 2025 (about 12%), a supply story, not a demand story | Movoto |
| Estimated months of supply, Burke | about 1.1 months (92 active listings divided by 85 monthly sales) | Well below the 5 to 6 months of a balanced market | Calculated from Movoto data |
| NVAR region median sold price (June 2026) | $810,000 | Up 5.2% year over year | NVAR |
| NVAR region months of supply (June 2026) | 1.98 months | Up 7.8% year over year; active listings up 12.1% to 2,816 | NVAR |
Two things stand out. First, Burke is moving noticeably faster than the region as a whole: a 12 day median in Burke against a 19 day average across the NVAR footprint in June. Second, Burke’s supply picture is even tighter than the regional one. The broader Northern Virginia market added inventory this spring (up 12.1% year over year in June), yet Burke is still sitting near one month of supply. When demand is regional and supply is hyperlocal, that gap is what keeps Burke sellers in the stronger negotiating position.
A note on the price figures: Burke’s published medians vary by source because each one slices the market differently. Movoto’s $650,000 June median blends townhomes with single family homes, while Redfin’s ZIP 22015 figure of roughly $707,000 leans toward detached homes. Neither is wrong. Burke simply has a large townhome base (Burke Centre alone holds thousands of them), and the mix of what happened to close in a given month moves the blended number around. That is exactly why a neighborhood level comparison matters more than any citywide median when you price your own home.
Burke Sub-Market Breakdown
Burke is really four or five markets wearing one ZIP code, and they behaved differently this quarter. Published data does not break Q2 out by neighborhood, so the reads below combine the ZIP level numbers above with how each section of Burke is structured. For an exact number on your street, request a free comparative market analysis using the contact info at the end of this report.
Burke Centre
The townhome heavy heart of Burke, governed by the Burke Centre Conservancy. Townhomes here are the entry point to the 22015 ZIP code, and with entry level inventory the scarcest segment in Fairfax County, well kept Burke Centre townhomes were among the fastest movers this quarter, frequently drawing multiple offers when priced with discipline. Detached homes in the Ponds sections trade meaningfully higher and benefit from the same VRE and commuter demand.
Lake Braddock Area
The neighborhoods surrounding Lake Braddock, including the Lake Braddock Community Association sections, remain the classic Burke single family story: colonials and split levels on established lots. Demand here is anchored by the school pyramid, which continues to be a factor buyers weigh, and by walkability to the lake paths. Turnover is low, which is precisely why prepared homes that do list sell quickly.
Longwood Knolls and Cherry Run
Larger and newer single family stock in southern Burke. These homes sit at the upper end of Burke’s price range, and this is where the county’s broader trend showed up most: buyers at higher price points had slightly more selection this spring, so presentation and pricing precision mattered more here than in the townhome segment. Homes that showed well still moved inside the citywide 12 day pace; dated homes priced off 2025 comps were the ones taking price cuts.
Burke Lake Estates and Old Burke
The sections near Burke Lake Park, including larger lot properties toward Fairfax Station (ZIP 22039), draw buyers specifically seeking land and privacy inside the Beltway commute shed. Inventory here is thinnest of all, sales are infrequent, and individual sale prices swing widely with lot size and condition, so a custom valuation is essential rather than any ZIP level median.
How Q2 Compares to Prior Periods
The clearest quarter over quarter change: Burke got faster. Redfin’s rolling data for ZIP 22015 covering the three months ending April 2026 (essentially the tail of Q1 and the start of Q2) showed a median around $707,000 with homes averaging about 23 days on market. By June, the median time on market had compressed to 12 days. That is the spring market doing what Burke’s spring market usually does, but the compression from 20 days in June 2025 to 12 days in June 2026 says this year’s demand ran hotter than last year’s.
Year over year, the regional backdrop strengthened as the quarter went on. Across the NVAR footprint (Fairfax and Arlington counties plus Alexandria, Fairfax City, Falls Church, Vienna, Herndon, and Clifton), the median sold price rose 2.9% year over year in May to $812,012 and 5.2% in June to $810,000, with June closed sales up 3.9% and total volume up 12.7% to $1.85 billion. Fairfax County specifically posted a median around $813,000 for the three months ending May, up 3.4% from the same period a year earlier, per Redfin.
The inventory trend is the one to watch going into Q3. Regional active listings rose from 2,733 in May to 2,816 in June, and months of supply crossed from 1.93 to 1.98. That is buyers slowly gaining options at the regional level. Burke has not followed yet: local supply near 1.1 months means the buyer relief showing up in county wide statistics has largely skipped Burke so far. If Burke inventory starts building later this summer, the first symptom will be more price reductions, and at 14 out of 92 active listings, that count is already worth watching.
What This Means for Burke Sellers
Bottom line: Q2 conditions favored Burke sellers, but only the ones who priced and prepared correctly. Here is how I would translate this quarter’s data into strategy if you are considering a sale in the second half of 2026.
1. Price to the last 90 days, not to your neighbor’s 2025 sale. With homes selling at roughly 1% above list on average, the market is rewarding accurate pricing with speed and modest escalation, not rewarding aspirational pricing with patience. The 14 price reduced listings on the market right now are mostly homes that tested a number the comps did not support.
2. Plan around a two week marketing window, and use it. A 12 day median means your first weekend is most of your leverage. Photography, staging, and pre-list preparation need to be finished before day one, because there is rarely a second wave of showings to fix a weak debut.
3. If you own a townhome, you are in the strongest seat in Burke. Entry level supply is the scarcest segment in the county, and Burke Centre townhomes are the most affordable way into the 22015 ZIP code. Multiple offer outcomes were common this quarter for well presented townhomes.
4. If you own a larger home, expect a more discerning buyer. Regional inventory gains are concentrated at higher price points. Upper bracket Burke homes still sold well in Q2, but buyers had more to compare against, so condition issues and dated finishes got priced against you rather than overlooked.
5. Do not wait for a “better” fall market on the theory that inventory stays this tight. Regional supply has now risen year over year for most of 2026, and NVAR’s own mid-year outlook anticipates continued inventory growth. Burke’s scarcity has protected local sellers so far, but the direction of travel across Northern Virginia is toward more competition among sellers, not less.
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the median home price in Burke, VA in Q2 2026?
Burke’s June 2026 median sold price was $650,000 across all home types, while the ZIP 22015 median ran near $707,000 when weighted toward detached homes. The spread reflects Burke’s mix: townhomes generally trade in the $500s to low $600s and detached homes commonly trade in the $700s and up, depending on section, size, and condition.
How fast are homes selling in Burke right now?
The median Burke listing went under contract in about 12 days in June 2026, down from 20 days a year earlier. That is faster than the Northern Virginia regional average of 19 days. Well priced townhomes often moved in less than a week.
Is Burke a seller’s market in 2026?
Yes. With roughly 1.1 months of local supply against the 5 to 6 months that defines a balanced market, Burke remained clearly a seller’s market through Q2 2026. The caveat is that the advantage applies to correctly priced homes; about 1 in 6 active Burke listings has already taken a price cut.
Are Burke home prices going up or down?
The regional trend is up: the NVAR area median rose 5.2% year over year in June 2026, and Fairfax County was up about 3.4% for the spring period. Burke’s own blended median bounces month to month with the townhome versus detached sales mix, which is why a neighborhood level comparison beats the citywide median for pricing decisions.
Should I sell my Burke home now or wait until 2027?
The data argues against waiting on inventory grounds. Northern Virginia active listings rose 12.1% year over year in June and months of supply is climbing, so sellers who list while Burke supply is still near one month face less competition than those who wait for more neighbors to list. Your personal timeline, tax picture, and next purchase matter more than any quarter’s statistics, and those are worth a specific conversation.
How much above asking price are Burke homes selling for?
On average, Burke homes sold for about 1% above list price during the quarter. Averages hide the spread: sharp listings in the townhome segment sometimes escalated several percent above asking, while overpriced listings sold below ask after a reduction. The list price you choose largely determines which side of that average you land on.
Where can I verify these Burke market numbers?
Every figure in this report is sourced from the Northern Virginia Association of Realtors monthly statistics (via Bright MLS), Redfin’s ZIP 22015 and Burke market pages, and Movoto’s Burke market trends page. Links appear in the snapshot table above. Sources differ slightly because they cut the data by different geographies and property mixes, which is normal.
Get a Personalized Burke Home Valuation
Citywide medians will not tell you what your home on your street is worth in this market. I grew up in Burke, graduated from Lake Braddock, and sell across these neighborhoods today. If you are thinking about selling in the second half of 2026, I will prepare a free, no obligation comparative market analysis using current Bright MLS data for your specific section of Burke. Call or text me at (571) 946-8418 or email david.mount@thereduxgroup.com.
About David Mount, REALTOR®
The Redux Group of eXp Realty | Fairfax, VA | Serving Fairfax, Loudoun, Arlington, Prince William, Alexandria & Falls Church
David grew up in Burke, Virginia and graduated from Lake Braddock Secondary School. He has 12+ years of full-time experience and 200+ transactions in Northern Virginia residential seller representation, with a particular focus on life-transition sales (inherited property, divorce, downsizing, military relocation, and out-of-state moves), and is well-versed in the procedures that govern Virginia probate and trust-held home sales under Title 64.2 of the Code of Virginia (Wills, Trusts & Fiduciaries).
Credentials & recognition: NVAR Platinum Top Producer (2024) · 90+ five-star verified client reviews · FastExpert 5-Star Agent · Zillow Premier Agent · The Redux Group, eXp Realty’s largest team in Northern Virginia.
Contact David: (571) 946-8418 · david.mount@thereduxgroup.com