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Loudoun County Housing Market Report: Q3 2026

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Loudoun County Housing Market Report: Q3 2026

Updated October 28, 2026 by David Mount, REALTOR®, The Redux Group of eXp Realty | Loudoun County, Virginia

Quick Answer: Loudoun County’s housing market shifted quickly in Q3 2026, and by September its sales were falling more than twice as fast as the broader Northern Virginia region’s. Closed sales fell 16.9% in August and 17.8% in September from a year earlier, while active listings climbed 34.1% to 1,031 by the end of September, pushing supply to 2.41 months (Bright MLS data reported by NVAR). Prices held steady: the median sold price was $813,000 in July, $771,250 in August and $758,500 in September, up 0.8% from a year earlier. Homes averaged 21 to 31 days on market, and sellers still received 99.3% to 100% of asking price on average every month of the quarter (Dulles Area Association of REALTORS). Loudoun is still a seller’s market, but the seller’s edge shrank quickly this quarter.

Have a question about your own home? Call or text David at 571-946-8418. Send a text and he will reply himself.

Q3 2026 Loudoun County Market Snapshot

Q3 2026 Loudoun County key numbers at a glance:

  • Median sold price: $813,000 in July, $771,250 in August and $758,500 in September (up 0.8% from a year earlier)
  • Closed sales: 1,280 for the quarter; down 16.9% in August and 17.8% in September
  • Average days on market: 21 in July, 24 in August and 31 in September
  • Sale price vs. asking price: 99.3% to 100% all quarter (DAAR)
  • Active listings: 1,031 at the end of September, up 34.1%, for 2.41 months of supply

Two local Realtor associations publish Loudoun numbers, and they count slightly differently, so this report shows them side by side rather than mixing them. The Northern Virginia Association of Realtors (NVAR) reports Bright MLS data. The Dulles Area Association of REALTORS (DAAR) reports Virginia REALTORS data and adds the detail NVAR leaves out, including townhome versus single-family splits and the sale-to-asking ratio. All prices below are medians.

Metric (NVAR, Bright MLS) July 2026 August 2026 September 2026
Median sold price $813,000, up 7.4% $771,250, up 0.9% $758,500, up 0.8%
Closed sales 510, down 1.0% 432, down 16.9% 338, down 17.8%
Total sold dollar volume $458.4 million, up 1.1% $379.9 million, down 15.7% $288.3 million, down 18.6%
Average days on market 21, up 5.5% 24, up 4.3% 31, up 6.9%
Active listings 868, up 8.5% Up 17.6% (count not published) 1,031, up 34.1%
Months of supply 1.96, up 6.3% 2.09, up 18.7% 2.41, up 37.7%
Metric (DAAR, Virginia REALTORS data) July 2026 August 2026 September 2026
Median sales price, all homes $814,000, up 7.1% $765,000, up 0.3% $750,000, down 0.9%
Median sales price, single-family detached $1,064,450, up 3.8% $1,050,000, unchanged $987,500, up 0.6%
Median sales price, townhomes and condos $650,000, up 4.7% $607,500, up 0.4% $623,550, up 3.1%
Sales 515, down 2.1% 443, down 15.5% 344, down 17.3%
Pending sales 446, down 8.2% 356, down 24.6% 331, down 25.6%
New listings 718, up 3.3% 629, up 4.3% 726, up 11.3%
Average sold price as a share of asking price 100.0% (100.3% a year earlier) 99.3% (99.6% a year earlier) 99.3% (99.3% a year earlier)
Active listings, single-family detached 379, up 3.3% 389, up 12.1% 453, up 27.6%
Active listings, townhomes and condos 443, up 21.4% 458, up 34.7% 509, up 50.6%
Active listings, all homes 822, up 12.3% 847, up 23.3% 962, up 38.8%
Months of supply 1.9 1.9 1.9

The two series agree on everything that matters: closings fell sharply in August and September, listings climbed every month, and prices were essentially flat by September. They differ on the sign of September’s tiny price change (NVAR up 0.8%, DAAR down 0.9%), which is why the fair reading is “flat.” DAAR’s September report adds the clearest detail of the quarter: townhome and condo listings were up 50.6% from a year earlier, against 27.6% for single-family homes.

Loudoun’s slowdown ran ahead of the region’s. NVAR’s footprint as a whole (Fairfax County, Arlington and the nearby cities) saw September closings fall 7.5% and months of supply rise to 2.5, while its regional median rose 4.2% to $744,950. Bright MLS titled its September D.C. metro report “A Stalling Housing Market This Fall.”

How does Q3 compare to earlier in 2026?

July still looked like the spring market; August and September did not. In July, Loudoun’s median sold price was up 7.4% to $813,000 and closings were nearly flat with 2025. By August, closings were down 16.9% and price growth had stalled at 0.9%. September brought the steepest sales drop of the quarter (17.8%), the slowest average market time (31 days) and the most inventory (1,031 active listings). Across the quarter, NVAR’s monthly counts add up to 1,280 closings.

The forward-looking numbers point to a slower fall. DAAR reported pending sales down 24.6% in August and 25.6% in September. Pending sales become closings 30 to 60 days later, so October and November closings are likely to stay below last year’s pace.

What does Q3 2026 mean for Loudoun County sellers?

Townhome owners face the most new competition, and single-family owners still hold the stronger hand. By September, townhome and condo listings were up 50.6% from a year earlier, while single-family listings were up 27.6%, per DAAR. If you own a townhome in Ashburn, Brambleton, Leesburg or South Riding, you are now one of many similar homes a buyer can tour on the same Saturday, so price, condition and photos have to win the comparison. Single-family homes held their median near $1 million ($987,500 in September, up 0.6%) with less new supply to compete against, but buyers are taking longer to decide. For either type, price from the last 60 to 90 days of closed sales in your community, have repairs done before listing, and plan for a four to six week window from launch to contract instead of a weekend.

What does it mean for Loudoun County buyers?

For buyers, Loudoun has more choice than it did a year ago. With 1,031 active listings at the end of September and pending sales down about a quarter, there is room to negotiate, especially on townhomes that have been listed for more than three weeks.

Thinking about selling in Loudoun County this winter or in 2027?

Call or text David at 571-946-8418. He will tell you what the house could sell for today and what has to happen first.

Text David

12+ years, 200+ transactions, $130M+ sold, 100+ five-star reviews across Google, Zillow, Realtor.com and FastExpert.
Recent Loudoun proof: in 2024 David sold an Ashburn home for $740,000, $15,000 over asking, with the buyer assuming the seller’s 2.5% VA loan.

David’s take

Loudoun’s market moved faster this quarter than the region around it. When closings fall 17% while listings rise 34%, the homes that still sell quickly are the ones priced for the market that exists today, not the one from April. The encouraging part for sellers is that prices have not broken; the median is flat, and sellers were still collecting about 99% of asking in September. What has changed is the margin for error. An overpriced Loudoun listing now sits next to a growing row of alternatives, and buyers notice. When I sold an Ashburn home in 2024 for $15,000 over asking, the buyer also took over the seller’s 2.5% VA loan, a reminder that an assumable low-rate loan can be a real selling point while rates stay high. My Loudoun County seller’s guide covers pricing, prep and timing town by town. If you are planning a 2027 sale, especially of a townhome, the useful move this winter is a pricing and prep plan built on Q3 closings in your specific community.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the median home price in Loudoun County right now?

$758,500 in September 2026, up 0.8% from a year earlier, per Bright MLS data reported by NVAR. The Dulles Area Association of REALTORS, using Virginia REALTORS data, reported a slightly lower $750,000, down 0.9%. Either way, Loudoun prices were essentially flat year over year in September, after an $813,000 median in July.

How much did Loudoun County home sales fall in Q3 2026?

Closed sales fell 16.9% in August and 17.8% in September from a year earlier, per NVAR. July was nearly flat at 510 closings, down 1.0%. NVAR’s three monthly counts add up to 1,280 closings for the quarter. DAAR reported pending sales down about 25% in August and September, so October and November closings are likely to stay below 2025 levels.

How long does it take to sell a house in Loudoun County right now?

About three to four weeks on average: 21 days in July, 24 in August and 31 in September 2026, per NVAR. Each month was slower than the same month of 2025, and September’s 31 days was the slowest of the quarter. Settlement usually adds another 30 to 45 days after a ratified contract.

Is Loudoun County a buyer’s or seller’s market in late 2026?

Still a seller’s market at 2.41 months of supply, but the gap closed faster in Q3 than in the region as a whole. Active listings rose 34.1% to 1,031 in September and months of supply climbed from 1.96 in July to 2.41, against the 4 to 6 months that usually signals balance. Sellers still received 99.3% to 100% of asking price on average in every month of Q3, per DAAR.

Should I sell my Loudoun County home before spring 2027?

The inventory trend favors listing sooner rather than later, especially for townhome owners. Townhome and condo listings were up 50.6% year over year in September, versus 27.6% for single-family homes, per DAAR, and more competing listings are likely by spring. Prices are holding, so this is about getting the best result, not escaping a decline. Your own timeline and next home should drive the decision.

Get a Personalized Loudoun County Home Valuation

A county median blends Lansdowne estates with Sterling townhomes, so no number above is your number. I will run a free, no-obligation comparative market analysis using current Bright MLS data for your community and property type, and tell you plainly what the Q3 data says your home would sell for today.

Want a real number for your Loudoun County home, not a county median?

Call or text David at 571-946-8418. He will tell you what the house could sell for today and what has to happen first.

Text David

12+ years, 200+ transactions, $130M+ sold, 100+ five-star reviews across Google, Zillow, Realtor.com and FastExpert.
Free, no-obligation comparative market analysis from current Bright MLS data. David reads every message himself and replies by call or text.

Where these numbers come from

Every figure in this report is traceable to a public source, checked on October 28, 2026:

The quarterly total in this report (1,280 closings) is the sum of NVAR’s three monthly counts, not a separately published number. DAAR’s monthly counts add up to 1,302.

David Mount, REALTOR, The Redux Group of eXp Realty

About David Mount, REALTOR®

The Redux Group of eXp Realty | Fairfax, VA | Serving Fairfax, Loudoun, Arlington, Prince William, Alexandria and Falls Church

David grew up in Burke, in the heart of Fairfax County, and graduated from Lake Braddock Secondary School and James Madison University. He has 12+ years of full-time experience and 200+ transactions in Northern Virginia residential real estate, with a particular focus on life-transition sales (inherited property, downsizing, military relocation, and out-of-state moves).

Credentials and recognition: NVAR Platinum Top Producer (2024) · CPRES and MRP certified · 100+ five-star client reviews across Google, Zillow, Realtor.com and FastExpert · Zillow Premier Agent · Veterans United preferred agent.

Contact David: 571-946-8418 · Text · david.mount@thereduxgroup.com

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